Alternate population forecast
(1) If the coordinating body under ORS 195.025 (Regional coordination of planning activities) (1) has adopted, within 10 years before a city initiates an evaluation or amendment of the city’s urban growth boundary, a population forecast as required by ORS 195.036 (Area population forecast) that no longer provides a 20-year forecast for an urban area, a city may propose a revised 20-year forecast for its urban area by extending the coordinating body’s current urban area forecast to a 20-year period using the same growth trend for the urban area assumed in the coordinating body’s current adopted forecast.
(2) If the coordinating body has not adopted a forecast as required by ORS 195.036 (Area population forecast) or if the current forecast was adopted more than 10 years before the city initiates an evaluation or amendment of the city’s urban growth boundary, a city may propose a 20-year forecast for its urban area by:
(a) Basing the proposed forecast on the population forecast prepared by the Office of Economic Analysis for the county for a 20-year period that commences when the city initiates the evaluation or amendment of the city’s urban growth boundary; and
(b) Assuming that the urban area’s share for the forecasted county population determined in paragraph (a) of this subsection will be the same as the urban area’s current share of the county population based on the most recent certified population estimates from Portland State University and the most recent data for the urban area published by the United States Census Bureau.
(3)(a) If the coordinating body does not take action on the city’s proposed forecast for the urban area under subsection (1) or (2) of this section within six months after the city’s written request for adoption of the forecast, the city may adopt the extended forecast if:
(A) The city provides notice to the other local governments in the county; and
(B) The city includes the adopted forecast in the comprehensive plan, or a document included in the plan by reference, in compliance with the applicable requirements of ORS 197.610 (Local government notice of proposed amendment or new regulation) to 197.650 (Appeal to Court of Appeals).
(b) If the extended forecast is adopted under paragraph (a) of this subsection consistent with the requirements of subsection (1) or (2) of this section:
(A) The forecast is deemed to satisfy the requirements of a statewide land use planning goal relating to urbanization to establish a coordinated 20-year population forecast for the urban area; and
(B) The city may rely on the population forecast as an appropriate basis upon which the city and county may conduct the evaluation or amendment of the city’s urban growth boundary.
(4) The process for establishing a population forecast provided in this section is in addition to and not in lieu of a process established by goal and rule of the Land Conservation and Development Commission. [2007 c.689 §1]
Note: 195.034 (Alternate population forecast) was enacted into law by the Legislative Assembly but was not added to or made a part of ORS chapter 195 or any series therein by legislative action. See Preface to Oregon Revised Statutes for further explanation.
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